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released the 2025 Joint Channel Market Size and Forecast 2025-2028. This report offers a detailed review of the U.S. aftermarket and forecasts industry growth through 2028.

It also analyzes industry trends that are shaping this projected growth. S&P Global Market Intelligence prepared the Joint Channel Market Size and Forecast report.

The forecast model examines the U.S. automotive aftermarket in detail and identifies key influences on industry growth. It provides insights into market trends driving changes in the industry’s size and composition.

The model draws on extensive research and delivers valuable projections for aftermarket stakeholders. These projections help businesses make informed decisions and develop effective strategic plans.

Key Insights from the Automotive Aftermarket Forecast 2025

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reviews aftermarket performance in 2024 and outlines forecasts for 2025 and beyond. It projects the light-duty aftermarket to reach $435 billion in 2025.

The Auto Care Association and MEMA Aftermarket Suppliers expect growth to exceed pre-pandemic rates and continue through 2028. They forecast the aftermarket to surpass $500 billion by 2028. That milestone comes just four years after it topped $400 billion.

The service channel retained a 0.6 percentage point gain from the dealer channel in 2024. Since 2017, the dealer channel has lost 1.4 percentage points of market share.

Expert Commentary on Industry Growth and Automotive Aftermarket Forecast 2025

“The automotive aftermarket continues to demonstrate remarkable resilience and growth,” said Paul McCarthy, president of MEMA Aftermarket Suppliers. “The 2025 Joint Channel Forecast predicts consumers will spend $435 billion to repair and maintain their vehicles this year, while future years will surpass pre-pandemic growth rates in dollar terms. Consumers and our country need the aftermarket. This study provides our members with valuable insights into market trends and emerging opportunities to support their business decisions.”

“The U.S. automotive aftermarket is poised for significant growth, and this report highlights the industry’s strength and resilience in the face of evolving challenges,” said Bill Hanvey, president and CEO, Auto Care Association. “The Joint Channel Forecast gives our members the insights needed to navigate this dynamic landscape. We are proud to provide this valuable resource each year to empower our members in making their strategic business decisions to drive our industry’s growth through 2028 and beyond.”

Report Access and Membership Benefit

Auto Care Association and MEMA Aftermarket Suppliers offer the report as a benefit of membership.
Members can access the Joint Channel Forecast Model at no additional cost.

Auto Care members can access the Joint Channel Forecast report in the 2026 Auto Care Factbook at 

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. MEMA Aftermarket Suppliers can access the report at 
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      The automotive aftermarket industry could be on the verge of one of its biggest shakeups in years.
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    • By GreenGears Auto Limited
      Published by GreenGears Auto  |  8 min read  |  Subframe Buying Guide
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      link hidden, please login to view covers front and rear subframes and engine cradles for domestic and import vehicles. Top platforms include Honda Accord and CR-V, Toyota Camry and RAV4, Nissan Armada, Ford Fusion and Escape, Chevrolet Equinox, and VW MQB platform vehicles. All carry a 90-day warranty from confirmed delivery. If your specific vehicle isn't listed,
      link hidden, please login to view — we can search our salvage yard network for your application and confirm availability before anything ships. Shop Used OEM Subframes — Factory Fit, 90-Day Warranty
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      GreenGears Auto — Drive Green. Drive Smart.
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