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Niterra Appoints Burchi to GM of Aftermarket and OE Product
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By Counterman
JNPSoft OptiCat, a provider of solutions to support aftermarket auto part suppliers with the mapping, maintenance, development, validation and publishing of their catalog data in industry standards ACES® and PIES, has launched DataLive, an innovative tool that transforms the way manufacturers manage their product data. With DataLive, manufacturers can now automatically track when their products reach a go live state on the various distribution sell platforms.
link hidden, please login to view “As part of our commitment to pioneering new and effective products for our customers, we are thrilled to launch DataLive to the Aftermarket Industry”, said David Williams, CEO of JNPSoft OptiCat. “DataLive gives our partners the ability to strategically follow up with distributors and retailers, perform reviews and accurately forecast supply chain management.”
“DataLive was designed to determine why sales may not be happening as projected,” said Bryan Thueson, COO JNPSoft OptiCat. “DataLive has flexible packages based on search volume making it an effective tool to help you sell more parts”.
DataLive aims to automate a process that is currently manual, saving manufacturers time and allowing them to allocate valuable resources to other critical operations.
For more information about DataLive visit
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By Counterman
link hidden, please login to view, we took an in-depth look at the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the average vehicle age, highlighting their significant roles in shaping the automotive aftermarket. At the time of publication, we hinted at further exploration into other critical factors that influence our industry, and today, I’ll fulfill that promise by examining gas prices and vehicle miles traveled (VMT), two indicators that give a snapshot of the economy and provide professionals a means to predict the future of the aftermarket landscape.
First, let’s look at everyone’s favorite expense: gas prices.
The fluctuations in gasoline prices in the United States are more than mere figures at the fuel pump; they serve as barometers for a variety of factors, including economic health, geopolitical tensions, consumer confidence and the vitality of the automotive aftermarket sector. Gasoline stands as a relatively inelastic commodity, with demand showing little sensitivity to price changes. This is largely because a significant portion of vehicle use, estimated at about 30% for commuting purposes alone, is essential and non-negotiable for many individuals, according to a University of Michigan study. When considering additional driving for school-related activities, errands and other purposes, visits to the gas station are an inevitable aspect of daily life.
This inelastic nature of gasoline consumption implies that rising fuel prices compress consumer spending power and escalate operational costs for businesses reliant on transportation. Consequently, there’s a logical link between fuel costs and mileage traveled, especially for discretionary travel. Recent studies, including research by AAA, reinforce this connection, suggesting that as gas prices climb, individuals adjust their travel and lifestyle accordingly.
AAA released an article in July 2022 summarizing the aforementioned research that they conducted. The article showed that 64% of U.S. adults made changes to their driving habits and/or lifestyle since March 2022, at a time when gas prices were hovering around $4.30 and peaking at $5.03 in June 2022, with 23% of consumers making major changes. As illustrated in the article, of the 64% who reported they were making changes in their driving and lifestyle, 88% said they would drive less, 74% said they would try to combine errands, 56% said they would reduce shopping or dining out, and 30% reported they will delay major purchases.
Putting these sentiments into the context of the automotive aftermarket, less driving will put fewer miles on vehicles, leading to extended periods in between the 3,000-5,000 mile oil changes, roughly 6,000-mile alignments and factory scheduled maintenance around the 30,0000-, 50,000-, and 90,000-mile marks. Additionally, if people have less disposable income, they may put off repairs or standard maintenance like an oil change, further increasing the interval of vehicle maintenance.
However, while less driving may lead to extended periods between routine maintenance tasks such as oil changes, alignments and factory scheduled services initially, this shift in consumer behavior presents a silver lining for the automotive aftermarket. With people potentially delaying maintenance due to reduced disposable income, it stands to reason, vehicles are likely to be held onto for longer periods. This not only increases the likelihood of maintenance and repairs in the long term, but also signals a decrease in the purchase of new vehicles. As a result, the market could see an uptick in older, used vehicles that require more frequent servicing and do not receive warranty services (in other words, an increase in the use of vehicles within the aftermarket sweet spot). This scenario underscores the importance of the automotive aftermarket in supporting vehicle longevity and reliability, highlighting a potentially robust market for service shops and parts suppliers alike.
However, despite the intuitive connections and survey research, some reports, such as one from TIME, paint a different picture. Research analyzing fuel prices and American driving habits from 2000 to 2022 indicates that by June 24, 2022, U.S. gasoline consumption was nearly 8.93 million barrels per day, slightly below the 9 million daily average since 2000, showing a minor 1% drop. Conversely, gas prices soared to 90% above their average for that period.
The results of the TIME analysis will be partially corroborated by some of the charts presented in this article, but it is important to understand that the data presented for miles driven is in millions, so even small spikes on a chart will represent rather larger scaled changes.
To begin our deep dive, we start with Chart 1, which sources data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration and reveals the trajectory of retail gasoline prices across several years, displaying a pattern of highs and lows that correspond with a multitude of external factors.
link hidden, please login to viewChart 1 As we observe the trend line from January 2014 to January 2024, we see a gradual increase with significant peaks and troughs. The trendline suggests a weak upward trend with considerable volatility, which can be attributed to a range of influences, from geopolitical events, supply disruptions, technological advancements and shifts in consumer behavior. While Chart 1 showing a decade of gas price fluctuations may not explicitly outline the impact on the automotive aftermarket as far as time is concerned (meaning that we can’t accurately predict the price of gas in a few years with time alone), the implications are significant. Higher gas prices can lead to increased demand for fuel-efficient aftermarket products or vehicles, as consumers look to optimize their vehicle’s performance.
Conversely, lower gas prices can result in more disposable income to pursue vehicle repairs or perhaps drive more in general, which will inevitably lead to a greater need for repairs and vehicle upkeep (more on that to come). Ultimately, whether gas prices rise or fall, the aftermarket can benefit from the resulting changes in consumer behavior, as vehicle owners seek to manage their operating costs or take advantage of economic conditions to use their vehicles more.
VMT: A Reflection of Changing Times
As previously stated, VMT can have a significant impact on the health of the automotive industry and the aftermarket. So, let’s jump into Chart 2, which showcases VMT data over the last 10 years, according to the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED).
This chart traces the VMT from January 2014 to October 2023, offering a graphical story of the nation’s driving habits.
link hidden, please login to viewChart 2 The data shows that simply counting on an increase in driving over time won’t work for predicting aftermarket service demand. Instead, aftermarket businesses should focus on the specific factors that influence driving habits, like economic trends such as inflation and cultural/societal trends such as remote work policies. This understanding is crucial for aftermarket businesses to effectively manage inventory, plan marketing and schedule services. Recognizing that vehicle use can vary widely, rather than following a steady climb, allows aftermarket companies to be more agile and meet their customers’ needs in real time.
Is There a Correlation Between Gas Prices and Vehicle Miles Driven?
Various reports and studies have highlighted a discernible link between gasoline prices and the distance traveled by drivers. However, a broader analysis of economic data reveals a more complex scenario. Despite the intuitive connection between fuel costs and driving behavior, the practical demands of daily life in America—such as commuting to work, school and other essential activities—often render the inclination to reduce driving due to higher gas prices moot. (See Chart 3 which integrates information from the preceding two charts.)
link hidden, please login to viewChart 3 While there’s a connection between gas prices and VMT, it’s relatively weak as indicated by the low correlation coefficient and the even smaller predictive regression score not presented, indicating the presence of other influential factors. For accurate market predictions, we must consider additional variables like geopolitical issues affecting oil supply, policy changes and shifts in oil demand, which can abruptly alter gas prices.
Similarly, VMT is influenced by factors such as public transportation availability, urban versus rural living patterns and societal shifts toward remote work or “walkable” cities. Changes in consumer preferences, such as a growing interest in environmentally friendly transportation options or online shopping, can also play a crucial role.
Therefore, automotive aftermarket professionals should consider integrating advanced analytics and diverse data sources into their decision-making processes. This could involve investing in resources that help analyze social, economic and political trends, alongside traditional market data. Engaging with experts in related fields, from energy economics to urban planning, can also enrich their strategic outlook. In summary, a proactive understanding of the diverse drivers behind market changes is essential to navigate the industry’s complexities, capitalize on opportunities and ensure lasting success in a constantly evolving market.
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By Advance Auto Parts
Advance Auto Parts Appoints Three New Independent Directors
03/11/2024 Enters into Cooperation Agreement with Third Point LLC and Saddle Point Management L.P.
RALEIGH, N.C.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE: AAP), a leading automotive aftermarket parts provider in North America that serves both professional installer and do-it-yourself customers, today announced that it has appointed A. Brent Windom, Gregory L. Smith and Thomas W. Seboldt as independent directors to the Advance Auto Parts board, effective immediately. In connection with these appointments, the company has entered into a cooperation agreement with Third Point LLC (together with its affiliates, “Third Point”) and Saddle Point Management, L.P. (together with its affiliates, “Saddle Point”).
“We are pleased to welcome Brent, Greg and Tom to the Advance Auto Parts board,” said Gene Lee, independent chair of the board of directors. “These directors’ automotive industry and supply chain experience will help us progress in our plan to return the company to profitable growth. With new management in place, important strategic actions underway, and an enhanced board, we are confident that Advance is on the right path to create significant long-term value for shareholders.”
“At Advance, our board prioritizes ongoing refreshment to help ensure we have the right expertise and experience to oversee our strategy while profitably growing our business,” said Shane O'Kelly, president and chief executive officer. “As we continue our operational initiatives focusing on the fundamentals, improving our competitive position, and serving our customers better than anyone else, including through the consolidation of our supply chain to a single unified network, we look forward to benefiting from our new directors’ extensive industry relationships and experience.”
“These three directors bring essential operational experience and industry expertise to support Shane as he executes on an ambitious agenda,” said Daniel S. Loeb, chief executive officer of Third Point. “With fresh perspectives in the C-suite and board room and a long runway for growth, we believe Advance is well positioned to create meaningful value for shareholders.”
“Advance has enormous potential to deliver better results for customers, suppliers, team members, and shareholders. The company's collaborative and focused approach is a key enabling factor for success," said Roy J. Katzovicz, chief executive officer of Saddle Point Management, L.P.
The full cooperation agreement, which contains customary standstill, voting and other provisions, will be filed by the company with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as an exhibit to a Current Report on Form 8-K. Additionally, Legion Partners Holdings, LLC (together with its affiliates, “Legion”), another Advance Auto Parts shareholder, has indicated its support for the additions of Mr. Windom, Mr. Smith and Mr. Seboldt to the company’s board of directors.
With the appointments announced today, the company’s board will temporarily expand to 12 directors. At the 2024 annual meeting scheduled for May 22, 2024, 11 director nominees are expected to stand for election to the Advance Auto Parts board, including the three newly appointed directors.
Advisors
Centerview Partners LLC is acting as financial advisor to Advance Auto Parts and Hogan Lovells US LLP is acting as legal counsel. Willkie Farr & Gallagher LLP is acting as legal counsel to Third Point and Saddle Point, and Proskauer Rose LLP is acting as legal counsel to Saddle Point.
About A. Brent Windom
Brent Windom, 63, is an experienced automotive industry executive, having spent nearly four decades working in roles across the sector. Most recently, Mr. Windom served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Uni-Select Inc., a leading automotive refinish, industrial coatings and automotive aftermarket parts distributor. Previously, Mr. Windom was President and COO of Canadian Automotive Group from July 2017 to May 2019, as well as president and Chief Executive Officer of Auto Plus ǀ Pep Boys, which was formed following Icahn Enterprises L.P.’s acquisition of Uni-Select USA, Inc. and Beck/Arnley Worldparts, Inc. Prior to joining IEH Auto Parts, Mr. Windom spent 10 years with Uni-Select, where he held positions of increasing responsibility including President and Chief Operating Officer, Uni-Select USA.
About Gregory L. Smith
Gregory L. Smith, 60, is a proven supply chain expert with nearly 30 years of experience across a variety of industries. Mr. Smith currently serves as Executive Vice President, Global Operation and Supply Chain of Medtronic plc. Prior to joining Medtronic in 2021, Mr. Smith was Executive Vice President, Supply Chain of Walmart Inc. from 2017 to 2021 and Senior Vice President, Global Operations of The Goodyear Tire and Rubber Company from 2011 to 2016. Earlier in his career, Mr. Smith spent a decade with Conagra Foods, Inc., where he served in several leadership positions, including Executive Vice President, Supply Chain. He previously held roles with United Signature Foods LLC and Aurora Foods Inc.
About Thomas W. Seboldt
Thomas W. Seboldt, 57, is a seasoned automotive executive with over three decades of industry experience. Mr. Seboldt spent the vast majority of his career with O’Reilly Automotive, Inc., where he held several titles of increasing responsibility, including Vice President, Merchandising. Mr. Seboldt has also served on the Board of prominent industry associations including the California Automotive Wholesalers' Association (“CAWA”) and the Auto Care Association. During his tenure on the CAWA Board, Mr. Seboldt has served in a variety of positions, including as President, Vice President, Executive Committee member and Treasurer.
About Advance Auto Parts
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. is a leading automotive aftermarket parts provider that serves both professional installer and do-it-yourself customers. As of December 30, 2023, Advance operated 4,786 stores and 321 Worldpac branches primarily within the United States, with additional locations in Canada, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The company also served 1,245 independently owned Carquest branded stores across these locations in addition to Mexico and various Caribbean islands. Additional information about Advance, including employment opportunities, customer services, and online shopping for parts, accessories and other offerings can be found at
link hidden, please login to view. Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements herein are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are usually identifiable by words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “intend,” “likely,” “may,” “plan,” “position,” “possible,” “potential,” “probable,” “project,” “should,” “strategy,” “will,” or similar language. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, statements about our strategic initiatives, operational plans and objectives, corporate governance, board performance, director nominees at the 2024 annual meeting of stockholders, expectations for economic conditions, future business results and future financial performance, as well as statements regarding underlying assumptions related thereto. Forward-looking statements reflect our views based on historical results, current information and assumptions related to future developments. Except as may be required by law, the company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements made herein. Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected or implied by the forward-looking statements. They include, among others, factors related to the company’s leadership transition, the timing and implementation of our initiatives, our potential divestiture of Worldpac and the company's Canada business, our ability to hire, train and retain qualified employees, deterioration of general macroeconomic conditions, the highly competitive nature of our industry, demand for our products and services, complexities in our inventory and supply chain and challenges with transforming and growing our business. Please refer to “Item 1A. Risk Factors” of our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), as updated by our subsequent filings with the SEC, for a description of these and other risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected or implied by the forward-looking statements.
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By Counterman
MEMA Aftermarket Suppliers has elevated its commitment to the University of the Aftermarket Foundation (UAF) by achieving the status of a Gold Lifetime Trustee.
“The Gold Lifetime Trustee designation from the UAF is a recognition given to outstanding donors who significantly support the UAF’s mission of providing scholarships and educational opportunities to the next generation of aftermarket professionals,” UAF said in a news release.
Paul McCarthy, president and CEO, MEMA Aftermarket Suppliers, and Chris Gardner, senior vice president, MEMA Aftermarket Suppliers, both serve on the UAF board of trustees to further this collaboration and the mission of the foundation, UAF noted.
“MEMA Aftermarket Suppliers is deeply committed to fostering growth and excellence in the automotive aftermarket. Our engagement with the UAF is an essential step towards enriching the talent pool in our industry,” McCarthy said. “By investing in scholarships and educational programs, we aim to nurture a skilled workforce that can drive innovation and excellence. Our partnership with UAF is not just a contribution, but a commitment to the future of the automotive aftermarket.”
Roger McCollum, chairman of the UAF, added: “The involvement of MEMA Aftermarket Suppliers with the University of the Aftermarket Foundation is a significant boost to our efforts. Their commitment as a Gold Lifetime Trustee brings valuable resources and insights that will greatly benefit our scholarship and education initiatives. This partnership is a testament to MEMA Aftermarket Suppliers’ dedication to the advancement of our industry.”
The University of the Aftermarket Foundation is a 501(c)(3) not-for-profit organization. All contributions are tax-deductible to the extent provided by law. To learn more about the foundation, apply for a scholarship or grant, or make a donation, visit www.uofa-foundation.org.
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By Counterman
NTN Bearing Corp., the parent company of BCA Bearings and Bower Bearings, announced the addition of Kevin Huckins to the company’s automotive aftermarket sales team.
Huckins is joining NTN’s automotive aftermarket business unit as regional sales manager, Western region.
“We are thrilled to add Kevin to our sales management team,” said Charles Harris, vice president of sales & marketing – automotive aftermarket for NTN. “His in-depth knowledge of the automotive and heavy-duty aftermarkets are an important asset to our organization, and his experience in sales management and ability to navigate our multifaceted distribution channels make him the ideal candidate to take our western region to the next level. I welcome his energetic, get it done attitude, and look forward to empowering his success in this role.”
Huckins, who resides in the Seattle area, joins NTN with an extensive and successful background in sales management in the automotive and heavy-duty aftermarkets, NTN noted.
His experience includes 26 years as an area/regional sales manager for Tenneco on the automotive side, followed by six years as a regional manager for Industrial Parts Depot, where he focused on the heavy-duty aftermarket.
In his role as regional sales manager, Western region, Huckins will manage NTN’s multipronged sales efforts and sales-agency partners for the automotive aftermarket and heavy-duty aftermarket business segments.
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